PREDICTED PARAMETERS OF EARTHQUAKES

Latitude

Longitude

Depth

Ms

Date of preliminary announcement

Date of final publishing

Real event

40 N

75 - 76 E

50 km

7.4

11 Oct 2000

18 Dec 2000

 

43.5 N

79 - 80 E

20 km

7.0

29 Dec 2000

-

1 Dec 2003
February 14, 2005

Preceding phenomena: silence , second kind gap , ...

December 1, 2003.Narynkol earthquake was occurred. Latitude is 43 N Longitude is 80.6 E

Real magnitude Ms =6.0 Depth = 20.

February 14, 2005.Karakol earthquake was occurred. Latitude is 41.73 N Longitude is 79.34 E

Real magnitude Ms =6.1 Occured on the southern border of Gap N 2 (see second kind gaps map).

These events was predicted by Karim Khaidarov in December 2000.
Second kind gap (see the map) indiced a magnitude and place of future event.
Duration of preparation of event of the same magnitude is 6 12 years.

Springy deformation accumulated in this area can be a reason of one else greater earthquake